Dolphins vs Lions

Dolphins vs Lions Live: Detroit have had a week off and are no doubt ready to get back on the field. They will challenge Miami on the road at 1:00 p.m. on Sunday. The game is expected to be a close one, with Detroit going off at just a 3-point favorite.

Detroit had a rough outing against Dallas three weeks ago, but a little bit of home cooking seems to have fixed things right up. Detroit were able to grind out a solid victory over Green Bay two weeks ago, winning 31-23. Matthew Stafford, who passed for 183 yards and 2 touchdowns, was a major factor in Detroit’s success. If you haven’t heard Stafford’s name lately, then you haven’t been paying much attention: he has loomed large in their past five games.

Meanwhile, it may have taken overtime to finish the job, but Miami ultimately got the result it was hoping for last Sunday. They came out on top in a nail-biter against Chicago, sneaking past 31-28.

Their wins bumped Detroit to 2-3 and Miami to 4-2. Miami’s offensive line will need to gear up for a tough test against a Detroit defensive front that amassed four sacks against Green Bay, so we’ll see if they are up to the task.

Since the 2008 NFL season teams coming off a bye have gone 168-149-10 ATS. So, if you’d just blindly bet them you’d have made money, but not much. When you look closer, though, you see that teams coming off a bye are 101-70-7 ATS when they’re favored in their first game back. Road favorites are 45-20-2 ATS when coming off a bye.

All of which makes Detroit an enticing option here, don’t you think? There’s more to this pick, though. The fact is, as I mentioned earlier, while Miami won in OT against the Bears last week, it probably shouldn’t have. The Bears had two red-zone turnovers in the game, and after Khalil Mack injured his ankle, any semblance of a Bears pass rush disappeared. Plus the team just looked tired on defense in the Miami heat. I’d take the Lions here no matter who is starting at QB for the Dolphins this week.

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